>布伦特 100 刀还在涨
>Brent $100 and climbing
>布伦特 100 刀还在涨
>Crude $95 and climbing
>原油 95 刀还在涨
>traffic in hormussy didn't change one bit since the "ceasefire"
>「停火」以来霍尔木兹的通行量一点没变
>delulu market is just slowly coming to terms that oil is running out
>自欺欺人的市场正慢慢接受石油快没了的现实
>China still laying low and not buying oil
>中国还在按兵不动，不买油
$150 EOY
>>62673150
>China still laying low and not buying oil
>中国还在按兵不动，不买油
>China’s crude oil imports rose 6.2% month-on-month to 37.9 million tonnes in August 2026, marking the highest level in four months
>2026 年 8 月中国原油进口环比增长 6.2% 至 3790 万吨，创四个月新高
not falling for it, don’t make me tap the sign
我不上当，别逼我敲牌子
>>62673150
what you buy to profit? on revolut?
买什么能吃到？Revolut 上？
>>62674239
depends how long you wanna hold it. That shit wont be solved in the next 5 years. If you got time just by munificent 7 and chill. If you wanna keep buing for the next 12 years SLB and halliburton and transocean. If you just wanna jump on the hype by laveraged oil etfs.
看你想拿多久。这事五年内解决不了。有时间就买 magnificent 7 然后躺平。打算拿 12 年就买 SLB、哈里伯顿和 Transocean。只想追热点就上带杠杆的石油 ETF。
>>62674254
ok and what for short term, like months?
那短线呢，几个月那种？
>>62673150
This all stems way back when Biden absolutely fucked crude oil in 2022. Democrats, never once.
这一切都源于 2022 年拜登把原油坑得体无完肤。民主党，从来如此。
Close your position OP, you don't want to end up like me. The orange nigger is about to tap out. He's going to claim victory, pull out, and never mention Iran again.
楼主平仓吧，别落到跟我一样下场。那个橙皮黑鬼马上要收场了。他会宣布胜利、撤军，然后再也不提伊朗。
i learned a long time ago to never bet against the US.
我早就学会了一件事：永远别跟美国作对。
>>62674290
>i learned a long time ago to never bet against the US.
>我早就学会了一件事：永远别跟美国作对。
in 'Nam?
>>62674268
How did he manage that?
他怎么做到的？
>>62674304
in equities. i'd rather my money be in S&P mirroring index funds then the possibility of an oil profiting trade.
放在股票里。我宁愿把钱放在标普指数基金里，也不赌石油交易那一把。
>>62673150
China recently started buying oil again though, they are doing it now during the midterms to completely fuck over the US.
不过中国最近又开始买油了，他们专挑中期选举这时候来，就是要彻底搞美国。
>>62673150
>>62674268
Are you sure it doesn't stem back to this year, when Trump got fooled by Israel into starting a war with a massive country that looms over one of the world's most vital oil production regions? Or is that wrong because it's on the news and normies think that? You, of course, are privileged to the REAL information.
你确定不是源于今年——特朗普被以色列忽悠着对一个扼守全球最重要产油区的大国开战？还是说这不算数，因为是新闻说的、普通人也这么想？当然啦，只有你配知道「真实」情报。
I know I am being sarcastic, but if you believe what you're saying, I'd like to hear more about your position. Genuinely.
我知道我在阴阳怪气，但你如果是真心的，我想多听听你的逻辑。真诚地问。
>>62673150
Oooooooooooo I’M OFFICIALLY FOMOING INTO OIL kek I miss those threads
哦哦哦哦我正式 FOMO 进石油了笑死，好怀念那些帖子
>>62674290
That was true financially for about 90 years, from 1945-2025. I'm not sure it's going to be true in the next 90.
1945 到 2025 这 90 年，这话在金融上成立。我不确定下一个 90 年还成不成立。
>>62674268
>Guys obviously this is actually due to Biden's oil policies
>各位，这显然是拜登石油政策的锅
>Ok but what about the direct blockage of 20% of global oil supply that is the immediate result of Trump going to war with Iran-
>那全球 20% 石油供给被直接掐断呢？这是特朗普对伊朗开战的直接后果——
>IT WAS BIDENS POLICIES AND THEY'RE ONLY KICKING IN NOW! NOTHING TRUMP DOES CAN EVER BE WRONG!
>>62674312
>>62674883
>>62675606
Biden drained the SPR quicker than Trump did and he did it for no reason and then did not refill it like he promised. If he did not do that, and did not support terrorism in the Donbas, the SPR would still be healthy
拜登清空战略储备比特朗普还快，而且毫无理由，事后还没按承诺回补。他要是没这么干、没去顿巴斯资助恐怖主义，战略储备现在还是满的
>>62675620
>he did it for no reason and then did not refill it like he promised
>毫无理由，事后还没按承诺回补
1. Do you not remember COVID?
1. 你还记得疫情吗？
2. They refilled most of it but by that point his admin ended. And the fact we didn't bother to finish filling it up again BEFORE we started a war with Iran is just another sign of how absolutely retarded the entire maneuver was.
2. 后来回补了大半，但那时他任期也结束了。而且我们在开战前都没想着先把储备补满，这一整套操作有多蠢，可见一斑。
>>62675622
>COVID is why we destroyed America's energy independence not an illegal war with Russia
>疫情才是毁了美国能源独立的原因，而不是对俄的非法战争
>My deluded #BLM #Trannygashwoundrights! geriatric nigger coal president in diapers refilled the SPR
>我那满嘴 #BLM #变性人权利 的老糊涂黑人总统、穿着尿布的煤老板回补了战略储备
>>62675638
>COVID is why we destroyed America's energy independence not an illegal war with Russia
>疫情才是毁了美国能源独立的原因，而不是对俄的非法战争
1. This is completely memoryholing the entire debacle with global oil supplies and companies after covid
1. 这完全是把疫情后全球石油供应和石油公司的整场灾难从记忆里抹掉
2. "Illegal war with Russia" is a funny way to put Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine that we had no control over. Sorry you don't want the US casually funding a threat to both them and their allies in Europe, but also pound sand you fucking idiot.
2. 「对俄非法战争」是形容俄罗斯非法入侵乌克兰的好笑说法——那事我们可控制不了。抱歉啊，美国不愿意随随便便资助一个威胁他们和欧洲盟友的东西，但你也给我滚吧，白痴。
3. Please explain how it somehow makes sense that we STOP being "Energy Independent" when we start relying entirely on ourself for energy?
3. 请解释一下，为什么我们在能源上开始完全自给自足的时候，反而要「失去能源独立」？这逻辑怎么通的？
4. Finally, even discounting all of the above, still doesn't make starting a war with Iran when you didn't finish filling the fucking SPR any less retarded
4. 最后，就算以上全不提，战略储备还没补满就对伊朗开战，这操作照样蠢到家
>>62675657
>This is completely memoryholing the entire debacle with global oil supplies and companies after covid
>这完全是把疫情后全球石油供应和石油公司的整场灾难从记忆里抹掉
Why do trannies love buzzwords so much? It does not make you look smart, everyone thinks you're ridiculous and a delusional man
为什么变性人这么爱用热词？这不会让你显得聪明，只会让所有人觉得你可笑、是个臆想男
>Illegal war with Russia" is a funny way to put Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine that we had no control over
>「对俄非法战争」是形容俄罗斯非法入侵乌克兰的好笑说法——那事我们可控制不了
Zelensky and Biden playing around with NATO expansion led to that, russia has a right to defend its interests against a hostile power in its historical zone of influence. Obama also contributed by doing the illegal CIA maidan coup. Democrats are entirely responsible for everything that happened, every dead child is on your hands and so are your leaking baggies and troongash!
泽连斯基和拜登玩北约东扩才导致的，俄罗斯有权在其历史势力范围内对抗敌对势力保护自身利益。奥巴马也有份，CIA 非法搞了迈丹政变。民主党对一切负全责，每个死去的孩子都算你们头上，还有你们漏水的袋子币和变性菊花！
>Please explain how it somehow makes sense that we STOP being "Energy Independent" when we start relying entirely on ourself for energy?
>请解释一下，为什么我们在能源上开始完全自给自足的时候，反而要「失去能源独立」？
If we were energy independent right now then gas wouldn't be a cent higher than it was in 2025
如果美国现在真能源独立，油价就不会比 2025 年高一美分
>still doesn't make starting a war with Iran when you didn't finish filling the fucking SPR any less retarded
>战略储备还没补满就对伊朗开战，这操作照样蠢到家
Biden drained the SPR when he knew Iran was rushing for WMD's and he refused to address the problems with the DEMOCRAT nuclear deal with Iran that let them have nuclear facilities because he knew he could pass his dookie to Trump to clean it up. Which he is doing, that is why you are whining.
拜登清空战略储备的时候明知道伊朗在狂冲大规模杀伤性武器，还拒绝处理「民主党伊核协议」的问题——正是那协议允许伊朗保留核设施——因为他知道自己可以把烂摊子甩给特朗普收拾。他正在收拾，这就是你们哀嚎的原因。
>>62675673
>Zelensky and Biden playing around with NATO expansion led to that, russia has a right to defend its interests against a hostile power in its historical zone of influence.
>泽连斯基和拜登玩北约东扩才导致的，俄罗斯有权在其历史势力范围内对抗敌对势力保护自身利益。
>Yeah I've got it, we'll stop these guys from joining a defensive alliance by invading them, thus justifying the existence of said defensive alliance
>懂了，我们要阻止这些国家加入防御同盟的办法就是入侵他们，从而证明这个防御同盟存在的必要性
>If we were energy independent right now then gas wouldn't be a cent higher than it was in 2025
>如果美国现在真能源独立，油价就不会比 2025 年高一美分
We're not and we likely never will be because we cannot compete with the middle east in terms of access to oil.
美国现在不是，将来大概率也做不到，因为在中东石油获取成本上我们根本没法竞争。
>he refused to address the problems with the DEMOCRAT nuclear deal with Iran that let them have nuclear facilities because he knew he could pass his dookie to Trump to clean it up
>还拒绝处理「民主党伊核协议」的问题——正是那协议允许伊朗保留核设施——因为他知道自己可以把烂摊子甩给特朗普收拾
The deal that Trump ripped up in his first term? Also nice bringing up the WMDs that we apparently set back decades last year and now we had to start this retarded war to stop from being finished in two weeks this year.
你说的是特朗普第一任期亲手撕毁的那个协议？还提 WMD，去年我们不是刚把伊朗核计划炸退几十年，结果今年又得开这场蠢战，就为了防止它两周内造好？
>>62675697
You should have just spent your time dilating instead of losing pathetically like this you already lost and I won
你省下这些功夫去撑开括约肌不好吗，输得这么难看，你已经输了，我赢了
>>62675698
>you already lost and I won
>你已经输了，我赢了
And other wacky lies to tell yourself when you can't admit your cult leader objectively fucked up.
还有其他各种歪理，用来在你不敢承认教主客观上搞砸了的时候骗自己。
>>62675698
Not the anon who bodied you. Read back the argument, you can change your mind, you know. You don't just have to push Russian talking points. I could also tell it was a struggle for you to not talk about trannies for even three sentences, nobody was talking about them but you, who seems to have some anger on the brain.
我不是刚才赢你那位。把论点重读一遍，你可以改主意的，真的。你不一定非得复读俄罗斯的通稿。另外我看得出来，你连三句话不提变性人都做不到，没人在聊他们，只有你，脑子里像是积了火气。
These things are all true: the oil reserves were depleted under Biden. Trump didn't make an effort to resupply. Trump ripped up a deal that was working in the region. Trump started a useless war against a country he can never win to the detriment of world trade.
这些都是事实：石油储备在拜登任内被清空；特朗普没努力回补；特朗普撕毁了一份在该地区本来有效的协议；特朗普对一个永远赢不了的国家发动了毫无用处的战争，殃及全球贸易。
Russia has also made a huge mistake in invading Ukraine, no matter what you think about the countries involved, it's getting to be a WW1 level slog at this point. More Russians have died pointlessly in Ukraine than Brits pointlessly in the trenches back then.
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰也是巨大错误，无论你怎么看 involved 的国家，现在已经是一战级别的消耗战。在乌克兰无谓死掉的俄国人，比当年战壕里无谓死掉的英国人还多。
>>62675673
>russia has a right to defend its interests against a hostile power in its historical zone of influence
>俄罗斯有权在其历史势力范围内对抗敌对势力保护自身利益
Newsflash, if you're too weak to influence shit you don't have a "zone of influence".
插播一条新闻：如果你弱到影响不了任何事，你就没有什么「势力范围」。
Oil chads we keep winning
石油老哥们，我们赢了又赢
Das it mane
就是这样兄弟
My barrels are too oily, pockets too heavy, wagyu too juicy
我的油桶太油了，口袋太沉了，和牛太多汁了
>>62673150
I just opened a short position on heating oil
我刚开了取暖油空单
>Houthis just officially shut down the East-West pipeline along with blockading the red sea
>胡塞刚刚正式炸断东西管道，还封锁了红海
FUCK.
>>62673150
biught @109
109 买的
got liquidated (mostly)
被强平了（大部分）
thanks biz
谢谢 biz
gg
>>62673150
Houthis are taking over Yemen
胡塞正在接管也门
May see a slight bump in oil long then sell and then short
可能先看石油多头小涨一波，卖了再反手开空
>>62673150
>>China still laying low and not buying oil
>>中国还在按兵不动，不买油
This can't last much longer, can it?
这撑不了多久了，对吧？
Now essentially all their middle east supplies are cut off from both straits
现在他们中东的补给两条海峡全被掐断了
>>62675673
What in the zigger hell is this shit lmao
这什么鬼玩意哈哈
>>62673150
They just attacked the east-west pipeline in Saudi Arabia too.
他们还袭击了沙特的东西管道。
>>62675673
>gas wouldn't be a cent higher than it was in 2025
>油价就不会比 2025 年高一美分
guess what they do with the oil they drill in America? They export it because it's a global market
猜猜美国自己采的油怎么处理？出口，因为这是全球市场
We could nationalize our natural resources but this admin exists to loot America not enrich it
我们本可以把自然资源国有化，但这一届政府存在的意义就是洗劫美国，不是让它富强
>giant pipeline in Saudi Arabia shuts down after attack
>沙特巨型管道遇袭停运
>Oil prices drop 2.5%
>油价跌 2.5%
This is why I never ever touch oil. Fun to watch though.
所以我从来不碰石油。不过看着挺好玩的。
>>62682992
The pipeline was actually blown up the day before the news got out. This means insiders ran it up the day it happened and dumped on us after the news came out.
管道其实是消息公布前一天被炸的。也就是说内幕人士当天拉盘，消息出来后砸给我们。
I don't mind, I kept accumulating around $80.
无所谓，我一直围绕 80 刀在攒仓。
>>62675673
>NATO expansion
>北约东扩
Yeah, fuck off Ivan, this pretext was always a load of Russian bs
得了吧伊万，这借口从头到尾都是俄式扯淡
>In 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea, citing the threat from an expanding NATO, no such threat existed. NATO had agreed in 1996 not to station bases on the territories of its new Eastern European members, and didn’t until 2017, in response to Russia’s actions. Likewise, at the time of Crimea’s annexation and for nine months of the war that followed, Ukraine’s constitution banned NATO membership; Ukrainians didn’t want it. Europe’s defense budgets were still declining. Only a year earlier, the U.S. had pulled its last active-duty tanks from the continent.
>2014 年俄罗斯以北约东扩威胁为由吞并克里米亚时，这种威胁并不存在。北约早在 1996 年就同意不在新东欧成员国领土驻军，直到 2017 年才因俄方的行动改变。同样，克里米亚被吞并时以及之后九个月的战争里，乌克兰宪法都禁止加入北约；乌克兰人也不想要。欧洲防务预算还在逐年下降。就在一年前，美国刚把最后一批现役坦克撤出欧洲大陆。
>>62673150
>traffic in hormussy didn't change one bit since the "ceasefire"
>「停火」以来霍尔木兹的通行量一点没变
But it did, there are lots of tankers passing through by turning off their positions so you wont see it
其实过了，很多油轮关掉应答器偷偷穿行，所以你看不到
>>62674280
I think Trump was trying to pull out several times already but Iran didn't let him. If they do a nuclear test, Trump will be forced to be ball deep in Hormuz until he is impeached
我觉得特朗普已经几次想撤了，但伊朗不放他走。他们要是搞核试验，特朗普就被迫深陷霍尔木兹，直到被弹劾
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