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损失的逻辑

2009-04-13 随笔

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The Logic of Loss

损失的逻辑

作者: Aaron Swartz | 来源: aaronsw.com | 时间: 2009-04-13

The Logic of Loss

亏损的逻辑

The Logic of Loss

亏损的逻辑

Imagine someone offered you a 1% chance of winning a million dollars. How much would you pay for it? The natural inclination would be to say you break even at 1% of a million, which is $10,000. Even if you could scrape together the cash, this doesn’t seem like a very good deal. After all, there’s a 99% chance that you’ll have just thrown away ten grand.

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