Confusing good luck with skill

混淆好运与技能

By Seth Godin

作者:Seth Godin

August 27, 2025

2025年8月27日

If 1,000 people toss a fair coin three times, 125 of them will get three heads in a row. Perfect score. And 125 will lose every time.

如果1000个人抛硬币三次,其中125个人会连续三次都是正面。完美的分数。而125个人会每次都失败。

We probably shouldn't give the winners too much credit.

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